@GRAFTRatings | The Spray | New: Projections | Full Fixture | Analytics | Archives: 2016 2017 | graft_tips.csv
rating | swing | lw | att | def | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geelong | 113.7 | -3.2 | +6.3 | +17.6 | |
West Coast | 111.9 | +1.5 | 2 | +5.7 | +16.4 |
Melbourne | 111.6 | -6.9 | 1 | +12.9 | +8.9 |
Richmond | 110.5 | -5.2 | 1 | +7.1 | +13.6 |
Collingwood | 106.5 | -1.5 | +3.1 | +13.6 | |
GWS Giants | 105.5 | -0.1 | -0.5 | +16.2 | |
Essendon | 104.2 | +2.6 | +9.3 | +5.1 | |
Adelaide | 99.9 | +7.1 | +8.0 | +2.0 | |
Hawthorn | 98.2 | -1.6 | -0.8 | +9.1 | |
Sydney | 94.3 | -4.7 | -9.1 | +13.7 | |
Port Adelaide | 90.9 | -2.6 | -8.7 | +9.8 | |
North Melb | 89.5 | +0.9 | +2.7 | -3.0 | |
Brisbane | 78.5 | -1.7 | -2.4 | -8.9 | |
W Bulldogs | 77.6 | +4.1 | -11.5 | -0.6 | |
St Kilda | 73.4 | -0.9 | -8.4 | -8.0 | |
Fremantle | 59.7 | +2.8 | -18.8 | -11.3 | |
Gold Coast | 49.7 | -2.9 | -26.7 | -13.3 | |
Carlton | 40.8 | -7.1 | -28.5 | -20.5 |
AFL Finals Week 3 : 21-22 September | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
time / venue | w% | home | score | away | w% | GRAFT | Gamma line | result | |||
Fri 19:50 MCG | 60 | RIC | 58 | 97 | COL | 39 | +12.8 | RIC +10 | COL +39 | ✘ | |
Sat 15:20 Perth Stadium | 47 | WCE | 121 | 55 | MEL | 52 | -2.9 | MEL +2 | WCE +66 | ✘ |
AFL Finals Week 4 : 29-29 September | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
time / venue | w% | home | score | away | w% | GRAFT | Gamma line | result | |||
Sat 14:30 MCG | 41 | WCE | 79 | 74 | COL | 58 | -9.5 | COL +7 | WCE +5 | ✘ |
pl | w | d | l | pf | pa | % | pts | form | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Richmond | 22 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 2135 | 1574 | 135.64 | 72 | +25.5 | +1.1 | 2.02 | |
2 | West Coast | 22 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 2011 | 1657 | 121.36 | 64 | +16.1 | +0.9 | 2.05 | |
3 | Collingwood | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 2046 | 1699 | 120.42 | 60 | +15.8 | +0.3 | 2.04 | |
4 | Hawthorn | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1972 | 1642 | 120.10 | 60 | +15.0 | +1.5 | 2.00 | |
5 | Melbourne | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2299 | 1737 | 132.35 | 56 | +25.5 | -1.2 | 1.96 | |
6 | Sydney | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 1822 | 1656 | 110.02 | 56 | +7.5 | +3.2 | 2.11 | |
7 | GWS Giants | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 1898 | 1661 | 114.27 | 54 | +10.8 | +0.2 | 2.01 | |
8 | Geelong | 22 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 2045 | 1554 | 131.60 | 52 | +22.3 | +1.6 | 2.09 | |
9 | North Melb | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 1950 | 1790 | 108.94 | 48 | +7.3 | -4.3 | 1.83 | |
10 | Port Adelaide | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 1780 | 1654 | 107.62 | 48 | +5.7 | -1.1 | 2.00 | |
11 | Essendon | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 1932 | 1838 | 105.11 | 48 | +4.3 | +1.6 | 2.10 | |
12 | Adelaide | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 1941 | 1865 | 104.08 | 48 | +3.5 | +1.0 | 2.03 | |
13 | W Bulldogs | 22 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 1575 | 2037 | 77.32 | 32 | -21.0 | +1.5 | 2.03 | |
14 | Fremantle | 22 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 1556 | 2040 | 76.27 | 32 | -22.0 | +1.0 | 2.04 | |
15 | Brisbane | 22 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 1825 | 2049 | 89.07 | 20 | -10.2 | +0.9 | 2.09 | |
16 | St Kilda | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 1594 | 2125 | 75.01 | 18 | -24.1 | +4.9 | 2.20 | |
17 | Gold Coast | 22 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 1308 | 2176 | 60.11 | 16 | -39.5 | +1.9 | 1.98 | |
18 | Carlton | 22 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1347 | 2282 | 59.03 | 8 | -42.5 | -0.9 | 2.01 |
pl | % | pts | form | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | RIC | 22 | 135.64 | 72 | |
2 | WCE | 22 | 121.36 | 64 | |
3 | COL | 22 | 120.42 | 60 | |
4 | HAW | 22 | 120.10 | 60 | |
5 | MEL | 22 | 132.35 | 56 | |
6 | SYD | 22 | 110.02 | 56 | |
7 | GWS | 22 | 114.27 | 54 | |
8 | GEE | 22 | 131.60 | 52 | |
9 | NME | 22 | 108.94 | 48 | |
10 | PAD | 22 | 107.62 | 48 | |
11 | ESS | 22 | 105.11 | 48 | |
12 | ADE | 22 | 104.08 | 48 | |
13 | WBD | 22 | 77.32 | 32 | |
14 | FRE | 22 | 76.27 | 32 | |
15 | BRL | 22 | 89.07 | 20 | |
16 | STK | 22 | 75.01 | 18 | |
17 | GCO | 22 | 60.11 | 16 | |
18 | CAR | 22 | 59.03 | 8 |
Richmond v Collingwood | |||||||
Fri 21 Sep, 07:50PM | |||||||
MCG, Melbourne | |||||||
rating | par | result | swing | rating | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RIC | 115.6 | 89.1 | 8.10 | 58 | -5.2 | 110.5 | |
COL | 102.8 | 76.2 | 15. 7 | 97 | +5.2 | 108.0 | |
Par: | RIC by 12.8 | Result: | COL by 39 ✘ | ||||
Γ Model: | RIC by 10 | Result Rank | (RIC) | 8% | |||
Median Score | 87 | 77 | Score Rank | 10% | 78% | ||
Win | 60% | 39% | GRAFT Adjust | RIC | COL | ||
Win by 30+ | 28% | 13% | Attack | -3.1 | +2.1 | ||
Score 100+ | 31% | 19% | Defence | -2.1 | +3.1 |
West Coast v Melbourne | |||||||
Sat 22 Sep, 03:20PM | |||||||
Perth Stadium, Perth | |||||||
rating | par | result | swing | rating | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WCE | 103.6 | 85.1 | 18.13 | 121 | +6.9 | 110.5 | |
MEL ✈ | 118.5 | 88.0 | 7.13 | 55 | -6.9 | 111.6 | |
Par: | MEL by 2.9 | Result: | WCE by 66 ✘ | ||||
Γ Model: | MEL by 2 | Result Rank | (WCE) | 97% | |||
Median Score | 84 | 86 | Score Rank | 90% | 8% | ||
Win | 47% | 52% | GRAFT Adjust | WCE | MEL | ||
Win by 30+ | 19% | 22% | Attack | +3.6 | -3.3 | ||
Score 100+ | 27% | 30% | Defence | +3.3 | -3.6 |
Round 26 summary · Mean score: 82.8 · Mean margin: 52.5 · Tips correct: 0 / 2 · GRAFT MoE: 60.4 · Gamma MoE: 58.5 · Attack/Defense Drift: -1.8 · Result weirdness: 1.23
West Coast v Collingwood | |||||||
Sat 29 Sep, 02:30PM | |||||||
MCG, Melbourne | |||||||
rating | par | result | swing | rating | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WCE ✈ | 110.5 | 75.1 | 11.13 | 79 | +1.5 | 111.9 | |
COL | 108.0 | 84.7 | 11. 8 | 74 | -1.5 | 106.5 | |
Par: | COL by 9.5 | Result: | WCE by 5 ✘ | ||||
Γ Model: | COL by 7 | Result Rank | (WCE) | 63% | |||
Median Score | 76 | 84 | Score Rank | 54% | 35% | ||
Win | 41% | 58% | GRAFT Adjust | WCE | COL | ||
Win by 30+ | 14% | 26% | Attack | +0.4 | -1.1 | ||
Score 100+ | 18% | 27% | Defence | +1.1 | -0.4 |
Round 27 summary · Mean score: 76.5 · Mean margin: 5.0 · Tips correct: 0 / 1 · GRAFT MoE: 14.5 · Gamma MoE: 12.0 · Attack/Defense Drift: -3.4 · Result weirdness: 1.28