Week 7
Thu 22 Nov 2018 | 07:30pm | Brisbane | ||||
Brisbane | 104 | 55% | 1410 | +27 |
Illawarra | 85 | 45% | 1443 | -27 |
GRAFT Par - BRI 93 v 85 ILL |
Fri 23 Nov 2018 | 05:00pm | Auckland | ||||
New Zealand | 93 | 38% | 1483 | -11 |
Perth | 98 | 62% | 1639 | +11 |
GRAFT Par - NZB 88 v 103 PER |
Fri 23 Nov 2018 | 07:30pm | Adelaide | ||||
Adelaide | 109 | 76% | 1507 | +11 |
Cairns | 95 | 24% | 1379 | -11 |
GRAFT Par - ADL 95 v 85 CNS |
Sat 24 Nov 2018 | 02:30pm | Melbourne | ||||
Melbourne | 84 | 74% | 1620 | +4 |
Sydney | 82 | 26% | 1512 | -4 |
GRAFT Par - MEL 89 v 84 SYD |
Sun 25 Nov 2018 | 02:30pm | Wollongong | ||||
Illawarra | 120 | 45% | 1416 | +25 |
Adelaide | 109 | 55% | 1518 | -25 |
GRAFT Par - ILL 93 v 99 ADL |
Sun 25 Nov 2018 | 05:00pm | Perth | ||||
Perth | 91 | 81% | 1650 | +5 |
New Zealand | 86 | 19% | 1472 | -5 |
GRAFT Par - PER 93 v 70 NZB |
Week 9
Thu 06 Dec 2018 | 07:30pm | Sydney | ||||
Sydney | 39% | 1508 | ||
Perth | 61% | 1655 | ||
GRAFT Par - SYD 85 v 91 PER |
Fri 07 Dec 2018 | 07:30pm | Cairns | ||||
Cairns | 50% | 1368 | ||
Illawarra | 50% | 1441 | ||
GRAFT Par - CNS 89 v 90 ILL |
Sat 08 Dec 2018 | 02:30pm | Brisbane | ||||
Brisbane | 34% | 1437 | ||
Melbourne | 66% | 1624 | ||
GRAFT Par - BRI 94 v 98 MEL |
Sun 09 Dec 2018 | 12:00pm | Auckland | ||||
New Zealand | 54% | 1467 | ||
Sydney | 46% | 1508 | ||
GRAFT Par - NZB 91 v 100 SYD - Conflict with Elo |
Sun 09 Dec 2018 | 02:30pm | Perth | ||||
Perth | 89% | 1655 | ||
Cairns | 11% | 1368 | ||
GRAFT Par - PER 96 v 68 CNS |
Sun 09 Dec 2018 | 05:00pm | Adelaide | ||||
Adelaide | 67% | 1493 | ||
Illawarra | 33% | 1441 | ||
GRAFT Par - ADL 101 v 95 ILL |
League Table
pl | w | l | % | f | a | % | form | next 5 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PER | 11 | 10 | 1 | 90.9 | 1034 | 929 | 111.3 | |||
2 | MEL | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75.0 | 1111 | 1075 | 103.3 | |||
3 | SYD | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6 | 814 | 776 | 104.9 | |||
4 | BRI | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45.5 | 977 | 981 | 99.6 | |||
5 | ADL | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41.7 | 1139 | 1143 | 99.7 | |||
6 | NZB | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36.4 | 987 | 1016 | 97.1 | |||
7 | ILL | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36.4 | 997 | 1068 | 93.4 | |||
8 | CNS | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11.1 | 778 | 849 | 91.6 |
GRAFT Elo Rankings
graft | elo | last | pos | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PER | 100.8 | 1655 | +5 | ||
MEL | 93.9 | 1624 | +4 | ||
SYD | 91.7 | 1508 | -4 | ||
ADL | 82.1 | 1493 | -25 | ||
NZB | 79.8 | 1467 | -5 | ||
ILL | 78.9 | 1441 | +25 | ||
BRI | 86.9 | 1437 | +27 | ||
CNS | 74.9 | 1368 | -11 |
I am using a Elo system.
The league baseline is 1500, there is a uniform HCA of 70 and a K-factor of 20 and the
FiveThirtyEight NBA Ratings's MOV
multiplier.
Seed ratings were generated using weighted results from the three seasons leading up to 2018-19.
The GRAFT System is pretty much identical to the AFL system, except a HCA of 3 scoreboard points is always applied. This
should be regarded as a secondary system to estimate how high-scoring a game might be.