GRAFT Ratings

National Basketball League 2018-19

Week 7
Thu 22 Nov 2018 | 07:30pm | Brisbane
Brisbane104 55%1410+27
Illawarra85 45%1443-27
GRAFT Par - BRI 93 v 85 ILL
Fri 23 Nov 2018 | 05:00pm | Auckland
New Zealand93 38%1483-11
Perth98 62%1639+11
GRAFT Par - NZB 88 v 103 PER
Fri 23 Nov 2018 | 07:30pm | Adelaide
Adelaide109 76%1507+11
Cairns95 24%1379-11
GRAFT Par - ADL 95 v 85 CNS
Sat 24 Nov 2018 | 02:30pm | Melbourne
Melbourne84 74%1620+4
Sydney82 26%1512-4
GRAFT Par - MEL 89 v 84 SYD
Sun 25 Nov 2018 | 02:30pm | Wollongong
Illawarra120 45%1416+25
Adelaide109 55%1518-25
GRAFT Par - ILL 93 v 99 ADL
Sun 25 Nov 2018 | 05:00pm | Perth
Perth91 81%1650+5
New Zealand86 19%1472-5
GRAFT Par - PER 93 v 70 NZB
Week 9
Thu 06 Dec 2018 | 07:30pm | Sydney
Sydney 39%1508
Perth 61%1655
GRAFT Par - SYD 85 v 91 PER
Fri 07 Dec 2018 | 07:30pm | Cairns
Cairns 50%1368
Illawarra 50%1441
GRAFT Par - CNS 89 v 90 ILL
Sat 08 Dec 2018 | 02:30pm | Brisbane
Brisbane 34%1437
Melbourne 66%1624
GRAFT Par - BRI 94 v 98 MEL
Sun 09 Dec 2018 | 12:00pm | Auckland
New Zealand 54%1467
Sydney 46%1508
GRAFT Par - NZB 91 v 100 SYD - Conflict with Elo
Sun 09 Dec 2018 | 02:30pm | Perth
Perth 89%1655
Cairns 11%1368
GRAFT Par - PER 96 v 68 CNS
Sun 09 Dec 2018 | 05:00pm | Adelaide
Adelaide 67%1493
Illawarra 33%1441
GRAFT Par - ADL 101 v 95 ILL
League Table
plwl%fa%formnext 5
1 PER1110190.91034929111.3W W W W W
2 MEL129375.011111075103.3L W W W W
3 SYD95455.6814776104.9W L W W L
4 BRI115645.597798199.6W L L L W
5 ADL125741.71139114399.7L L W W L
6 NZB114736.4987101697.1W L L L L
7 ILL114736.4997106893.4W L L L W
8 CNS91811.177884991.6L L L L L
GRAFT Elo Rankings
graftelolastpos
PER100.81655+5
MEL93.91624+4
SYD91.71508-4
ADL82.11493-25
NZB79.81467-5
ILL78.91441+25
BRI86.91437+27
CNS74.91368-11
CNS 1368 BRI 1437 ILL 1441 NZB 1467 ADL 1493 SYD 1508 MEL 1624 PER 1655

I am using a Elo system. The league baseline is 1500, there is a uniform HCA of 70 and a K-factor of 20 and the FiveThirtyEight NBA Ratings's MOV multiplier.
Seed ratings were generated using weighted results from the three seasons leading up to 2018-19.
The GRAFT System is pretty much identical to the AFL system, except a HCA of 3 scoreboard points is always applied. This should be regarded as a secondary system to estimate how high-scoring a game might be.