GRAFT Ratings : AFL Men 2026

Welcome back to GRAFT Ratings for 2026. No vibecoding 'round here!

No cyclones this year (we hope). But also *groans* the Wildcard Round.

Bluesky is about as close as we're getting to socmed this year.

CSV: Tips - Rankings - Projections.

Tips correct: 20 / 28 (71.4%)
Correct by round: 3 7 4 6
GRAFT Margin of Error: 24.4
Mean score: 91.2 - Score 100+: 21 (38%)
Mean margin: 31.8 - Goal or less: 5 - Ten goals or more: 6 - Wins with less scoring shots: 0
Flips: 3 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's pre-game prediction

Club Profiles

ADE
BRL
CAR
COL
ESS
FRE
GEE
GCO
GWS
HAW
MEL
NME
PAD
RIC
STK
SYD
WBD
WCE

Club Ratings

ratingnetattackdefenceswingxwinsoff tend
1 WBD 120.7+33.2+22.7+10.6 +1.5 17.8+12.1
2 ADE 115.2+27.7+12.5+15.2 +0.2 15.6 -2.8
3 GEE 113.0+25.5+20.4 +5.1 -0.2 15.6+15.3
4 GCO 111.6+24.0+17.6 +6.5 +2.5 15.8+11.1
5 HAW 105.1+17.6+20.5 -2.9 -1.0 14.2+23.4
6 COL 103.2+15.7 +2.2+13.5 +1.0 14.1-11.3
7 BRL 99.8+12.2+11.7 +0.6 +2.7▲1 13.0+11.1
8 FRE 98.9+11.3 +5.2 +6.1 +0.1▼1 13.5 -0.9
9 SYD 92.1 +4.6 -1.0 +5.6 +1.0 12.8 -6.7
10 GWS 90.3 +2.8 +1.0 +1.8 -1.0 11.7 -0.8
11 MEL 82.4 -5.1 -0.5 -4.6 +1.6 11.0 +4.1
12 STK 76.6-11.0 -6.7 -4.3 -2.7 9.5 -2.4
13 CAR 72.2-15.4-12.7 -2.6 -1.6 8.1-10.1
14 PAD 68.7-18.9-10.6 -8.2 -3.5 8.1 -2.4
15 NME 63.6-23.9-10.0-13.9 +0.6 8.2 +4.0
16 ESS 56.1-31.4-18.1-13.3 -0.6 5.4 -4.7
17 WCE 54.5-33.0-16.4-16.6 +3.5▲1 7.6 +0.2
18 RIC 51.3-36.2-25.5-10.7 -0.1▼1 5.3-14.7
WBD120.7 ADE115.2 GEE113.0 GCO111.6 HAW105.1 COL103.2 BRL99.8 FRE98.9 SYD92.1 GWS90.3 MEL82.4 STK76.6 CAR72.2 PAD68.7 NME63.6 ESS56.1 WCE54.5 RIC51.3

Ladder

pwdlptspfpa%amformnx
1 GCO 33--12384201191.0+61.0MEL
2 WBD 33--12339247137.2+30.7ESS
3 FRE 32-18321223143.9+32.7ADE
4 SYD 32-18318228139.5+30.0WCE
5 HAW 32-18339287118.1+17.3GEE
6 NME 32-18288247116.6+13.7CAR
7 COL 32-18244213114.6+10.3BRL
8 MEL 32-1829030296.0-4.0GCO
9 WCE 32-1827531587.3-13.3SYD
10 GEE 32-1824728586.7-12.7HAW
11 PAD 31-24290275105.5+5.0RIC
12 ADE 31-24241241100.0+0.0FRE
13 BRL 31-2427929594.6-5.3COL
14 STK 41-3433138586.0-13.5PAD
15 GWS 41-3430339476.9-22.8RIC
16 CAR 31-2422130372.9-27.3NME
17 ESS 3--3022235961.8-45.7WBD
18 RIC 3--3017430656.9-44.0PAD

Projections

wins%firsttop 2top 4top 6wildspoon
1 WBD 17.9133.6 55.2 75.9 92.8 98.1 1.7-
2 GCO 15.8124.6 14.5 34.5 66.2 85.2 12.3-
3 ADE 15.6128.1 11.5 31.0 65.8 86.2 11.8-
4 GEE 15.6117.3 9.5 26.1 58.6 80.8 16.2-
5 HAW 14.2113.3 3.2 10.0 31.4 57.8 31.1 0.0
6 COL 14.1113.8 2.7 9.0 30.0 56.8 32.3 0.0
7 FRE 13.5113.0 1.8 6.2 21.4 45.5 37.1-
8 BRL 13.0109.3 0.8 3.6 15.4 35.6 39.8 0.0
9 SYD 12.8108.9 0.8 2.9 12.6 31.4 40.3 0.0
10 GWS 11.7101.2 0.1 0.5 3.8 13.2 34.3 0.1
11 MEL 11.0 94.5 0.0 0.2 1.8 7.0 23.6 0.1
12 STK 9.5 92.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 10.1 0.7
13 PAD 8.0 86.6- 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.9 3.8
14 NME 8.1 83.7-- 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.7
15 CAR 8.0 82.3- 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.0
16 WCE 7.5 77.8-- 0.0 0.1 1.4 7.0
17 ESS 5.3 73.4---- 0.1 37.3
18 RIC 5.2 71.4---- 0.1 43.3
Run with last game played: R3 CAR v MEL 29 Mar

AFL Round 3 : 26-29 March

Kardinia Park, GeelongThu 26 Mar · 7:30pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Geelong+25.7106.357% 91468-0.2+25.5
Adelaide+27.596.142% 9 660+0.2+27.7
Tip: Geelong by 10Geelong by 8 ✔
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneFri 27 Mar · 7:40pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Collingwood+14.695.668%13 987+1.0+15.7
GWS Giants+3.872.831% 71254-1.0+2.8
Tip: Collingwood by 23Collingwood by 33 ✔
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneSat 28 Mar · 12:35pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
St Kilda-8.287.945%111480-2.7-11.0
Brisbane Lions+9.593.654%1711113+2.7+12.2
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 6Brisbane Lions by 33 ✔
Perth StadiumSat 28 Mar · 4:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Fremantle+11.3111.189%1325103+0.1+11.3
Richmond-36.151.710% 6 743-0.1-36.2
Tip: Fremantle by 59Fremantle by 60 ✔
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneSat 28 Mar · 7:35pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Essendon-30.887.044% 91569-0.6-31.4
North Melbourne-24.493.455%12 981+0.6-23.9
Tip: North Melbourne by 6North Melbourne by 12 ✔
Adelaide OvalSun 29 Mar · 12:30pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Port Adelaide-15.3101.975%131290-3.5-18.9
West Coast-36.568.724%131492+3.5-33.0
Tip: Port Adelaide by 33West Coast by 2 ✘
Melbourne Cricket GroundSun 29 Mar · 3:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Carlton-13.880.044%111177-1.6-15.4
Melbourne-6.787.055%1510100+1.6-5.1
Tip: Melbourne by 7Melbourne by 23 ✔

AFL Round 4 - Easter Weekend : 2-6 April

The Gabba, BrisbaneThu 02 Apr · 7:30pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Brisbane Lions+12.291.756%
Collingwood+15.783.142%
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 9
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneFri 03 Apr · 3:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
North Melbourne-23.980.242%
Carlton-15.488.757%
Tip: Carlton by 9
Adelaide OvalFri 03 Apr · 7:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Adelaide+27.799.972%
Fremantle+11.371.527%
Tip: Adelaide by 28
Melbourne Cricket GroundSat 04 Apr · 4:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Richmond-36.276.345%
Port Adelaide-18.981.654%
Tip: Port Adelaide by 5
Perth StadiumSat 04 Apr · 7:35pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
West Coast-33.071.529%
Sydney Swans+4.697.170%
Tip: Sydney Swans by 26
Melbourne Cricket GroundSun 05 Apr · 3:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Melbourne-5.186.536%
Gold Coast+24.0103.763%
Tip: Gold Coast by 17
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneSun 05 Apr · 7:20pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Western Bulldogs+33.2123.590%
Essendon-31.458.99%
Tip: Western Bulldogs by 65
Melbourne Cricket GroundMon 06 Apr · 3:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Hawthorn+17.6102.943%
Geelong+25.5110.956%
Tip: Geelong by 8

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