GRAFT RatingsWelcome to GRAFT Ratings for 2022.
Projections are updated at the end of each round.
Full fixture - CSVs : graft_tips.csv - graft_ranking.csv - projections.csv
Tips correct: 136 / 189 (72.0%)
By round: 5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8 6 7 7 7 6 5 8
By round: 5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8 6 7 7 7 6 5 8
Margin of Error: GRAFT 25.1 - Gamma 25.0
Mean score: 83.0 - Score 100+: 93 (25%)
Mean margin: 30.4 - Goal or less: 24 - Ten goals or more: 24 - Wins with less scoring shots: 20
Flips: 15 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's prediction
Mean score: 83.0 - Score 100+: 93 (25%)
Mean margin: 30.4 - Goal or less: 24 - Ten goals or more: 24 - Wins with less scoring shots: 20
Flips: 15 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's prediction
| rating | net | attack | defence | swing | xwins | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GEE | 112.4 | +32.9 | +18.2 | +14.7 | +3.9 | 17.9 | |
| 2 |  SYD | 100.7 | +21.2 | +13.1 | +8.2 | -0.4 | 15.6 | |
| 3 |  MEL | 96.3 | +16.8 | +7.4 | +9.4 | -1.1 | 15.4 | |
| 4 |  BRL | 96.2 | +16.7 | +17.8 | -1.0 | +0.7 | 15.6 | |
| 5 |  RIC | 93.4 | +13.9 | +13.8 | +0.1 | +4.1 | 13.2 | |
| 6 |  PAD | 92.4 | +12.9 | +7.9 | +4.9 | +9.1 | ▲2 | 9.7 |
| 7 |  WBD | 85.5 | +6.0 | +8.2 | -2.2 | -2.8 | ▼1 | 11.7 |
| 8 |  FRE | 85.0 | +5.5 | -6.5 | +12.0 | -1.7 | ▼1 | 15.0 |
| 9 |  COL | 82.7 | +3.2 | +0.3 | +2.9 | +0.4 | 15.5 | |
| 10 |  CAR | 82.3 | +2.8 | +1.0 | +1.8 | +1.1 | 12.5 | |
| 11 |  STK | 74.5 | -4.9 | -7.4 | +2.4 | -0.7 | ▲1 | 11.4 |
| 12 |  GCO | 71.3 | -8.2 | -1.7 | -6.5 | -3.9 | ▲1 | 9.7 |
| 13 |  GWS | 70.2 | -9.3 | -9.0 | -0.4 | +2.8 | ▲3 | 6.5 |
| 14 |  ESS | 68.9 | -10.6 | +0.4 | -11.0 | -9.1 | ▼3 | 7.3 |
| 15 |  ADE | 66.8 | -12.7 | -3.6 | -9.1 | -1.3 | 8.3 | |
| 16 |  HAW | 65.3 | -14.2 | -4.7 | -9.5 | -4.1 | ▼2 | 8.3 |
| 17 |  WCE | 47.4 | -32.1 | -9.4 | -22.7 | +1.7 | 2.1 | |
| 18 |  NME | 39.6 | -39.9 | -13.5 | -26.4 | +1.3 | 2.3 |
| p | w | d | l | pts | pf | pa | % | am | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GEE | 21 | 17 | - | 4 | 68 | 2015 | 1442 | 139.7 | +27.3 |
| 2 | SYD | 21 | 15 | - | 6 | 60 | 1979 | 1542 | 128.3 | +20.8 |
| 3 | MEL | 21 | 15 | - | 6 | 60 | 1821 | 1426 | 127.7 | +18.8 |
| 4 | BRL | 21 | 15 | - | 6 | 60 | 2090 | 1684 | 124.1 | +19.3 |
| 5 | COL | 21 | 15 | - | 6 | 60 | 1764 | 1689 | 104.4 | +3.6 |
| 6 | FRE | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 58 | 1650 | 1417 | 116.4 | +11.1 |
| 7 | RIC | 21 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 50 | 2024 | 1705 | 118.7 | +15.2 |
| 8 | CAR | 21 | 12 | - | 9 | 48 | 1783 | 1639 | 108.8 | +6.9 |
| 9 | WBD | 21 | 11 | - | 10 | 44 | 1886 | 1748 | 107.9 | +6.6 |
| 10 | STK | 21 | 11 | - | 10 | 44 | 1629 | 1627 | 100.1 | +0.1 |
| 11 | PAD | 21 | 9 | - | 12 | 36 | 1695 | 1583 | 107.1 | +5.3 |
| 12 | GCO | 21 | 9 | - | 12 | 36 | 1757 | 1773 | 99.1 | -0.8 |
| 13 | HAW | 21 | 8 | - | 13 | 32 | 1723 | 1904 | 90.5 | -8.6 |
| 14 | ADE | 21 | 8 | - | 13 | 32 | 1666 | 1875 | 88.9 | -10.0 |
| 15 | ESS | 21 | 7 | - | 14 | 28 | 1662 | 1946 | 85.4 | -13.5 |
| 16 | GWS | 21 | 6 | - | 15 | 24 | 1562 | 1838 | 85.0 | -13.1 |
| 17 | WCE | 21 | 2 | - | 19 | 8 | 1383 | 2258 | 61.2 | -41.7 |
| 18 | NME | 21 | 2 | - | 19 | 8 | 1290 | 2283 | 56.5 | -47.3 |
AFL Round 22 : 12-13 August
| Docklands, Melbourne | Fri 12 Aug · 7:50pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 St Kilda | -4.3 | 82.4 | 81.8 | 43% | 9 | 12 | 66 | -0.7 | -4.9 |
 Brisbane | +16.1 | 90.8 | 88.1 | 56% | 12 | 9 | 81 | +0.7 | +16.7 |
| Tip: Brisbane by 6 | Brisbane by 15 ✔ | ||||||||
| Docklands, Melbourne | Sat 13 Aug · 1:45pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 W Bulldogs | +8.8 | 102.0 | 96.5 | 75% | 9 | 8 | 62 | -2.8 | +6.0 |
 GWS Giants | -12.1 | 69.2 | 71.9 | 24% | 8 | 9 | 57 | +2.8 | -9.3 |
| Tip: W Bulldogs by 25 | W Bulldogs by 5 ✔ | ||||||||
| Adelaide Oval | Sat 13 Aug · 2:10pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Adelaide | -11.4 | 109.7 | 102.3 | 80% | 15 | 13 | 103 | -1.3 | -12.7 |
 North Melb | -41.2 | 67.9 | 71.0 | 19% | 10 | 14 | 74 | +1.3 | -39.9 |
| Tip: Adelaide by 31 | Adelaide by 29 ✔ | ||||||||
| Carrara Stadium, Gold Coast | Sat 13 Aug · 4:35pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Gold Coast | -4.3 | 71.6 | 73.7 | 32% | 9 | 5 | 59 | -3.9 | -8.2 |
 Geelong | +29.0 | 92.9 | 89.7 | 67% | 18 | 11 | 119 | +3.9 | +32.9 |
| Tip: Geelong by 16 | Geelong by 60 ✔ | ||||||||
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | Sat 13 Aug · 7:25pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Melbourne | +17.9 | 86.7 | 85.0 | 63% | 11 | 13 | 79 | -1.1 | +16.8 |
 Carlton | +1.7 | 70.4 | 72.8 | 36% | 10 | 14 | 74 | +1.1 | +2.8 |
| Tip: Melbourne by 12 | Melbourne by 5 ✔ | ||||||||
| Perth Stadium | Sat 13 Aug · 7:40pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Fremantle | +7.2 | 101.9 | 96.4 | 80% | 9 | 17 | 71 | -1.7 | +5.5 |
 West Coast | -33.8 | 61.0 | 65.7 | 19% | 7 | 5 | 47 | +1.7 | -32.1 |
| Tip: Fremantle by 31 | Fremantle by 24 ✔ | ||||||||
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | Sat 13 Aug · 1:10pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Richmond | +9.8 | 96.5 | 92.4 | 65% | 20 | 8 | 128 | +4.1 | +13.9 |
 Hawthorn | -10.1 | 76.6 | 77.5 | 34% | 9 | 13 | 67 | -4.1 | -14.2 |
| Tip: Richmond by 15 | Richmond by 61 ✔ | ||||||||
| Sydney Cricket Ground | Sat 13 Aug · 3:20pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Sydney | +21.6 | 100.3 | 95.2 | 73% | 11 | 11 | 77 | -0.4 | +21.2 |
 Collingwood | +2.9 | 69.6 | 72.2 | 26% | 7 | 8 | 50 | +0.4 | +3.2 |
| Tip: Sydney by 23 | Sydney by 27 ✔ | ||||||||
| Docklands, Melbourne | Sat 13 Aug · 4:40pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
 Essendon | -1.5 | 85.7 | 84.3 | 55% | 9 | 8 | 62 | -9.1 | -10.6 |
 Port Adelaide | +3.8 | 79.0 | 79.3 | 44% | 23 | 8 | 146 | +9.1 | +12.9 |
| Tip: Essendon by 5 | Port Adelaide by 84 ✘ | ||||||||
Club Profiles
AFL Round 23 : 19-20 August
| The Gabba, Brisbane | Fri 19 Aug · 7:50pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| Brisbane | +16.7 | 93.9 | 90.4 | 59% | |||||
| Melbourne | +16.8 | 81.9 | 81.4 | 40% | |||||
| Tip: Brisbane by 9 | |||||||||
| Manuka Oval, Canberra | Sat 20 Aug · 1:45pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| GWS Giants | -9.3 | 64.6 | 68.4 | 47% | |||||
| Fremantle | +5.5 | 67.4 | 70.5 | 52% | |||||
| Tip: Fremantle by 2 | |||||||||
| Docklands, Melbourne | Sat 20 Aug · 2:10pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| North Melb | -39.9 | 78.5 | 78.9 | 34% | |||||
| Gold Coast | -8.2 | 98.2 | 93.7 | 65% | |||||
| Tip: Gold Coast by 15 | |||||||||
| Kardina Park, Geelong | Sat 20 Aug · 4:35pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| Geelong | +32.9 | 126.4 | 114.8 | 94% | |||||
| West Coast | -32.1 | 49.5 | 57.1 | 6% | |||||
| Tip: Geelong by 58 | |||||||||
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | Sat 20 Aug · 7:25pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| Essendon | -10.6 | 79.8 | 79.8 | 31% | |||||
| Richmond | +13.9 | 104.3 | 98.2 | 69% | |||||
| Tip: Richmond by 18 | |||||||||
| Adelaide Oval | Sat 20 Aug · 7:30pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| Port Adelaide | +12.9 | 96.5 | 92.4 | 70% | |||||
| Adelaide | -12.7 | 71.0 | 73.3 | 29% | |||||
| Tip: Port Adelaide by 19 | |||||||||
| York Park, Launceston | Sat 20 Aug · 1:20pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| Hawthorn | -14.2 | 77.0 | 77.8 | 33% | |||||
| W Bulldogs | +6.0 | 97.2 | 92.9 | 66% | |||||
| Tip: W Bulldogs by 15 | |||||||||
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | Sat 20 Aug · 3:20pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| Carlton | +2.8 | 77.6 | 78.2 | 49% | |||||
| Collingwood | +3.2 | 78.0 | 78.6 | 50% | |||||
| Tip: Collingwood by 0 | |||||||||
| Docklands, Melbourne | Sat 20 Aug · 4:40pm | ||||||||
| rt | par | Γ | win | result | swing | rt | |||
| St Kilda | -4.9 | 70.0 | 72.5 | 37% | |||||
| Sydney | +21.2 | 84.1 | 83.1 | 61% | |||||
| Tip: Sydney by 11 | |||||||||