AFL | GRAFT Ratings

AFL Men 2022

Welcome to GRAFT Ratings for 2022.

Projections are updated at the end of each round.

Full fixture - CSVs : graft_tips.csv - graft_ranking.csv - projections.csv

Tips correct: 90 / 126 (71.4%)
By round: 5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8

Margin of Error: GRAFT 26.1 - Gamma 26.2
Mean score: 82.8 - Score 100+: 64 (25%)
Mean margin: 31.7 - Goal or less: 14 - Ten goals or more: 18 - Wins with less scoring shots: 12
Flips: 9 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's prediction

		rating	net	attack	defence	swing		xwins
1	WBD	98.6	+19.1	+16.6	+2.6	+1.5	▲1	12.8
2	MEL	97.3	+17.8	+3.6	+14.2	+6.0	▲4	15.5
3	SYD	96.2	+16.7	+8.6	+8.1	+2.8	▲1	14.3
4	GEE	95.6	+16.1	+5.5	+10.6	-0.0	▼1	14.9
5	BRL	93.2	+13.7	+15.9	-2.1	-6.0	▼4	14.6
6	RIC	92.3	+12.8	+11.2	+1.6	+0.0	▼1	13.3
7	PAD	88.1	+8.6	-2.3	+10.9	-1.3		11.4
8	GCO	87.4	+7.9	+6.0	+1.8	+1.3	▲1	12.0
9	CAR	84.7	+5.2	+4.6	+0.7	+2.3	▲2	14.2
10	FRE	83.9	+4.4	-6.1	+10.5	-2.3	▼2	13.9
11	COL	81.0	+1.5	-0.7	+2.2	-0.8	▲1	13.0
12	STK	79.9	+0.4	-4.1	+4.5	-2.8	▼2	12.0
13	GWS	75.3	-4.2	+3.9	-8.1	+0.8		7.5
14	ESS	70.1	-9.4	-1.9	-7.4	-3.3		6.4
15	HAW	68.7	-10.8	+2.9	-13.7	-1.5		8.0
16	ADE	64.0	-15.5	-5.4	-10.1	+4.7		8.5
17	WCE	41.7	-37.8	-12.5	-25.3	+3.3		3.7
18	NME	32.7	-46.7	-22.0	-24.7	-4.7		2.3

		p	w	d	l	pts	pf	pa	%	am
1	MEL	14	11	-	3	44	1228	882	139.2	+24.7
2	GEE	14	10	-	4	40	1266	1008	125.6	+18.4
3	BRL	14	10	-	4	40	1391	1114	124.9	+19.8
4	FRE	14	10	-	4	40	1118	912	122.6	+14.7
5	CAR	14	10	-	4	40	1234	1077	114.6	+11.2
6	SYD	14	9	-	5	36	1258	1053	119.5	+14.6
7	COL	14	9	-	5	36	1204	1136	106.0	+4.9
8	WBD	14	8	-	6	32	1352	1118	120.9	+16.7
9	RIC	14	8	-	6	32	1323	1139	116.2	+13.1
10	STK	14	8	-	6	32	1114	1038	107.3	+5.4
11	GCO	14	7	-	7	28	1224	1108	110.5	+8.3
12	PAD	14	7	-	7	28	1058	1007	105.1	+3.6
13	ADE	14	5	-	9	20	1087	1271	85.5	-13.1
14	GWS	14	4	-	10	16	1156	1272	90.9	-8.3
15	HAW	14	4	-	10	16	1164	1360	85.6	-14.0
16	ESS	14	3	-	11	12	1043	1327	78.6	-20.3
17	WCE	14	2	-	12	8	861	1542	55.8	-48.6
18	NME	14	1	-	13	4	782	1499	52.2	-51.2

AFL Round 15 : 23-25 June

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Thu 23 Jun · 7:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Melbourne	+11.8	84.8	83.6	53%	16	21	117	+6.0	+17.8
Brisbane	+19.7	80.7	80.5	46%	7	11	53	-6.0	+13.7
Tip: Melbourne by 3					Melbourne by 64 ✔

Docklands, Melbourne				Fri 24 Jun · 7:00pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
W Bulldogs	+17.6	105.9	99.5	70%	19	11	125	+1.5	+19.1
Hawthorn	-9.2	79.1	79.3	29%	12	11	83	-1.5	-10.8
Tip: W Bulldogs by 20					W Bulldogs by 42 ✔

Perth Stadium				Fri 24 Jun · 8:40pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
West Coast	-41.1	73.8	75.4	31%	16	11	107	+3.3	-37.8
Essendon	-6.1	96.8	92.6	68%	14	13	97	-3.3	-9.4
Tip: Essendon by 17					West Coast by 10 ✘

Docklands, Melbourne				Sat 25 Jun · 1:45pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Carlton	+3.0	79.2	79.4	57%	12	9	81	+2.3	+5.2
Fremantle	+6.7	70.9	73.2	42%	7	8	50	-2.3	+4.4
Tip: Carlton by 6					Carlton by 31 ✔

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 25 Jun · 4:35pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Geelong	+16.2	82.0	81.5	52%	13	11	89	-0.0	+16.1
Richmond	+12.8	78.6	78.9	47%	13	8	86	+0.0	+12.8
Tip: Geelong by 3					Geelong by 3 ✔

Sydney Cricket Ground				Sat 25 Jun · 7:25pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Sydney	+13.9	91.2	88.4	68%	12	11	83	+2.8	+16.7
St Kilda	+3.2	68.5	71.4	31%	4	8	32	-2.8	+0.4
Tip: Sydney by 17					Sydney by 51 ✔

Bellerive Oval, Hobart				Sat 25 Jun · 1:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
North Melb	-42.0	77.4	78.1	41%	8	10	58	-4.7	-46.7
Adelaide	-20.2	87.2	85.5	58%	17	13	115	+4.7	-15.5
Tip: Adelaide by 7					Adelaide by 57 ✔

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 25 Jun · 3:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Collingwood	+2.4	94.2	90.6	65%	11	22	88	-0.8	+1.5
GWS Giants	-5.0	74.8	76.1	34%	12	5	77	+0.8	-4.2
Tip: Collingwood by 15					Collingwood by 11 ✔

Adelaide Oval				Sat 25 Jun · 4:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Port Adelaide	+9.9	78.4	78.8	63%	13	15	93	-1.3	+8.6
Gold Coast	+6.6	63.1	67.3	36%	13	13	91	+1.3	+7.9
Tip: Port Adelaide by 12					Port Adelaide by 2 ✔

Club Profiles

AFL Round 16 : 30 June-3 July

The Gabba, Brisbane				Thu 30 Jun · 7:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Brisbane	+13.7	98.8	94.1	55%
W Bulldogs	+19.1	92.2	89.2	44%
Tip: Brisbane by 5

Docklands, Melbourne				Fri 01 Jul · 7:50pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Carlton	+5.2	79.5	79.7	54%
St Kilda	+0.4	74.7	76.0	45%
Tip: Carlton by 4

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 02 Jul · 1:45pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Essendon	-9.4	75.5	76.6	38%
Sydney	+16.7	89.5	87.2	61%
Tip: Sydney by 11

Adelaide Oval				Sat 02 Jul · 4:35pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Adelaide	-15.5	65.9	69.4	32%
Melbourne	+17.8	87.2	85.4	67%
Tip: Melbourne by 16

Kardina Park, Geelong				Sat 02 Jul · 7:25pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Geelong	+16.1	109.7	102.3	91%
North Melb	-46.7	46.8	55.2	9%
Tip: Geelong by 47

Carrara Stadium, Gold Coast				Sat 02 Jul · 7:25pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Gold Coast	+7.9	89.3	87.0	65%
Collingwood	+1.5	71.0	73.2	34%
Tip: Gold Coast by 14

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sun 03 Jul · 2:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Richmond	+12.8	122.0	111.5	90%
West Coast	-37.8	59.4	64.6	10%
Tip: Richmond by 47

Sydney Showground				Sun 03 Jul · 3:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
GWS Giants	-4.2	103.1	97.3	64%
Hawthorn	-10.8	84.5	83.4	35%
Tip: GWS Giants by 14

Perth Stadium				Sun 03 Jul · 5:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Fremantle	+4.4	68.5	71.4	57%
Port Adelaide	+8.6	60.7	65.5	42%
Tip: Fremantle by 6