GRAFT Ratings : AFL Men 2026

Welcome back to GRAFT Ratings for 2026. No vibecoding 'round here!

Bluesky is about as close as we're getting to socmed this year.

CSV: Tips - Rankings - Projections.

Tips correct: 29 / 45 (64.4%)
Correct by round: 3 7 4 6 4 5
GRAFT Margin of Error: 27.8
Mean score: 89.1 - Score 100+: 30 (33%)
Mean margin: 32.8 - Goal or less: 8 - Ten goals or more: 7 - Wins with less scoring shots: 1
Flips: 4 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's pre-game prediction

Club Profiles

ADE
BRL
CAR
COL
ESS
FRE
GEE
GCO
GWS
HAW
MEL
NME
PAD
RIC
STK
SYD
WBD
WCE

Club Ratings

ratingnetattackdefenceswingxwinsoff tend
1 WBD 112.5+25.0+15.7 +9.3 -5.2 16.3 +6.5
2 HAW 111.2+23.6+20.1 +3.5 +5.2▲3 16.3+16.6
3 GEE 110.0+22.4+17.7 +4.7 -2.2 14.7+13.0
4 ADE 109.6+22.1+10.7+11.4 -2.6▼2 14.3 -0.7
5 SYD 106.1+18.6 +6.7+11.9 +3.7▲2 15.6 -5.2
6 GCO 104.1+16.6+13.5 +3.1 -3.7▼2 13.4+10.4
7 BRL 103.0+15.5+12.0 +3.5 -1.3▼1 14.1 +8.6
8 FRE 102.2+14.6 +2.1+12.5 +0.3 15.2-10.4
9 COL 98.4+10.8 -3.7+14.5 -0.3 12.5-18.2
10 GWS 91.7 +4.2 +4.1 +0.0 +1.3 11.8 +4.1
11 MEL 78.9 -8.6 -1.5 -7.1 -7.2 10.5 +5.6
12 STK 78.7 -8.8 -6.6 -2.2 +2.2 10.2 -4.4
13 CAR 72.9-14.6 -9.8 -4.8 +2.6▲1 7.5 -5.0
14 PAD 70.2-17.4-11.9 -5.5 -2.2▼1 8.0 -6.4
15 NME 66.8-20.8 -9.4-11.3 +1.3 8.8 +1.9
16 ESS 66.4-21.1-13.5 -7.7 +7.2 7.2 -5.8
17 WCE 46.5-41.1-18.6-22.5 +2.2▲1 6.3 +3.9
18 RIC 46.3-41.2-26.5-14.6 -1.3▼1 4.1-11.9
WBD112.5 HAW111.2 GEE110.0 ADE109.6 SYD106.1 GCO104.1 BRL103.0 FRE102.2 COL98.4 GWS91.7 MEL78.9 STK78.7 CAR72.9 PAD70.2 NME66.8 ESS66.4 WCE46.5 RIC46.3

Ladder

pwdlptspfpa%amformnx
1 SYD 54-116581331175.5+50.0GWS
2 FRE 54-116444338131.4+21.2WCE
3 HAW 54-116535442121.0+18.6PAD
4 WBD 54-116502416120.7+17.2GEE
5 GCO 53-212541410132.0+26.2ESS
6 BRL 53-212490426115.0+12.8MEL
7 NME 53-212450425105.9+5.0RIC
8 GEE 53-212460453101.5+1.4WBD
9 MEL 53-21246750492.7-7.4BRL
10 PAD 52-38447404110.6+8.6HAW
11 ADE 52-38431405106.4+5.2STK
12 GWS 52-3843446992.5-7.0SYD
13 COL 52-3834837792.3-5.8CAR
14 STK 52-3841245291.2-8.0ADE
15 WCE 52-3838660064.3-42.8FRE
16 CAR 51-4439351376.6-24.0COL
17 ESS 51-4440052676.0-25.2GCO
18 RIC 5--5029752756.4-46.0NME

Projections

wins%firsttop 2top 4top 6wildspoon
1 HAW 16.4122.9 25.6 45.7 73.5 89.3 9.4-
2 WBD 16.3123.4 26.3 45.3 72.8 89.3 9.5-
3 SYD 15.6129.8 18.3 35.7 64.8 84.2 13.3-
4 FRE 15.3119.0 11.9 25.1 51.9 75.6 20.3-
5 GEE 14.8114.9 6.6 16.4 40.5 65.9 27.0-
6 ADE 14.3120.7 4.6 12.4 34.6 61.5 30.6-
7 BRL 14.1114.3 3.8 10.4 29.0 53.5 34.7-
8 GCO 13.5113.8 2.1 6.2 19.9 40.9 39.7-
9 COL 12.6107.4 0.5 1.9 7.9 22.0 43.6-
10 GWS 11.8102.4 0.2 0.8 3.8 12.0 34.9 0.0
11 MEL 10.5 91.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 15.2 0.1
12 STK 10.2 94.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 14.2 0.1
13 NME 8.8 86.0- 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.7 0.9
14 PAD 8.0 87.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 1.7
15 CAR 7.5 83.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7
16 ESS 7.2 81.6- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.6
17 WCE 6.2 70.1--- 0.0 0.1 16.6
18 RIC 4.0 66.9---- 0.0 71.4
Run with last game played: R5 PAD v STK 12 Apr

AFL Round 5 - Gather Round : 9-12 April

Adelaide OvalThu 09 Apr · 7:40pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Adelaide+24.7107.887%1712114-2.6+22.1
Carlton-17.253.912%121486+2.6-14.6
Tip: Adelaide by 54Adelaide by 28 ✔
Adelaide OvalFri 10 Apr · 7:40pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Collingwood+11.179.447% 5 939-0.3+10.8
Fremantle+14.482.652% 7 345+0.3+14.6
Tip: Fremantle by 3Fremantle by 6 ✔
Barossa Park, Lyndoch (SA)Sat 11 Apr · 12:35pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
North Melbourne-22.076.822% 91266+1.3-20.8
Brisbane Lions+16.8115.678%131492-1.3+15.5
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 39Brisbane Lions by 26 ✔
Adelaide OvalSat 11 Apr · 1:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Essendon-28.373.228%1711113+7.2-21.1
Melbourne-1.4100.171%10 868-7.2-8.6
Tip: Melbourne by 27Essendon by 45 ✘
Norwood Oval, AdelaideSat 11 Apr · 4:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Sydney Swans+14.988.945%1416100+3.7+18.6
Gold Coast+20.394.354% 91468-3.7+16.6
Tip: Gold Coast by 5Sydney Swans by 32 ✘
Adelaide OvalSat 11 Apr · 7:35pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Hawthorn+18.597.041%1514104+5.2+23.6
Western Bulldogs+30.2108.758% 81664-5.2+25.0
Tip: Western Bulldogs by 12Hawthorn by 40 ✘
Norwood Oval, AdelaideSun 12 Apr · 12:30pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Geelong+24.6129.191%1720122-2.2+22.4
West Coast-43.261.39%111076+2.2-41.1
Tip: Geelong by 68Geelong by 46 ✔
Barossa Park, Lyndoch (SA)Sun 12 Apr · 3:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
GWS Giants+2.8100.182%2011131+1.3+4.2
Richmond-39.857.418%11 975-1.3-41.2
Tip: GWS Giants by 43GWS Giants by 56 ✔
Adelaide OvalSun 12 Apr · 7:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Port Adelaide-15.288.056% 91367-2.2-17.4
St Kilda-11.080.343%12 981+2.2-8.8
Tip: Port Adelaide by 8St Kilda by 14 ✘

AFL Round 6 : 16-19 April

Melbourne Cricket GroundThu 16 Apr · 7:30pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Carlton-14.663.229%
Collingwood+10.888.670%
Tip: Collingwood by 25
Kardinia Park, GeelongFri 17 Apr · 7:20pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Geelong+22.496.047%
Western Bulldogs+25.098.552%
Tip: Western Bulldogs by 3
Sydney Cricket GroundFri 17 Apr · 7:50pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Sydney Swans+18.694.261%
GWS Giants+4.279.738%
Tip: Sydney Swans by 14
Carrara Stadium, Gold CoastSat 18 Apr · 1:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Gold Coast+16.6114.784%
Essendon-21.164.915%
Tip: Gold Coast by 50
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneSat 18 Apr · 4:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Hawthorn+23.6119.185%
Port Adelaide-17.466.114%
Tip: Hawthorn by 53
Adelaide OvalSat 18 Apr · 7:35pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Adelaide+22.1106.481%
St Kilda-8.863.518%
Tip: Adelaide by 43
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneSun 19 Apr · 1:10pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
North Melbourne-20.892.766%
Richmond-41.272.333%
Tip: North Melbourne by 20
Melbourne Cricket GroundSun 19 Apr · 3:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Melbourne-8.688.640%
Brisbane Lions+15.5100.759%
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 12
Perth StadiumSun 19 Apr · 5:10pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
West Coast-41.156.412%
Fremantle+14.6112.188%
Tip: Fremantle by 56

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