AFL | GRAFT Ratings

AFL Men 2022

Thank you for following GRAFT Ratings through 2022.

Full fixture - CSVs : graft_tips.csv - graft_ranking.csv - projections.csv

Tips correct: 151 / 207 (72.9%)
By round: 5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8 6 7 7 7 6 5 8 8 3 1 2 1

Margin of Error: GRAFT 25.1 - Gamma 25.2
Mean score: 83.1 - Score 100+: 98 (24%)
Mean margin: 30.8 - Goal or less: 25 - Ten goals or more: 27 - Wins with less scoring shots: 23
Flips: 16 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's prediction

AFL Finals Week 4 : 24 September


Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 24 Sep · 2:30pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Geelong	+35.3	97.1	92.8	70%	20	13	133	+5.6	+40.9
Sydney	+21.9	71.7	73.8	29%	8	4	52	-5.6	+16.4
Tip: Geelong by 19					Geelong by 81 ✔

		rating	net	attack	defence	swing		xwins
1	GEE	120.4	+40.9	+22.0	+18.9	+5.6		18.0
2	RIC	97.7	+18.2	+18.3	-0.1	+0.2	▲1	13.5
3	MEL	96.0	+16.6	+6.7	+9.9	-3.6	▲1	16.0
4	SYD	95.9	+16.4	+13.2	+3.2	-5.6	▼2	16.0
5	PAD	95.4	+15.9	+9.4	+6.5	+3.0		10.0
6	COL	89.1	+9.6	+4.2	+5.4	+2.9		16.0
7	BRL	88.5	+9.0	+13.6	-4.6	-4.1		15.0
8	WBD	85.8	+6.3	+6.3	+0.0	-0.0		12.0
9	FRE	85.7	+6.3	-5.7	+11.9	-0.9		15.5
10	CAR	82.2	+2.7	+0.7	+2.1	-0.1		12.0
11	GCO	76.0	-3.5	-0.2	-3.3	+4.7		10.0
12	STK	74.6	-4.9	-7.0	+2.1	+0.0		11.0
13	GWS	68.5	-11.0	-8.5	-2.5	-1.7		6.0
14	HAW	65.0	-14.5	-6.0	-8.5	-0.3		8.0
15	ESS	64.7	-14.7	-0.1	-14.7	-4.1		7.0
16	ADE	63.8	-15.7	-5.2	-10.5	-3.0		8.0
17	WCE	46.6	-32.9	-9.7	-23.2	-0.8		2.0
18	NME	34.9	-44.6	-16.6	-28.0	-4.7		2.0

		p	w	d	l	pts	pf	pa	%	am
1	GEE	22	18	-	4	72	2146	1488	144.2	+29.9
2	MEL	22	16	-	6	64	1936	1483	130.5	+20.6
3	SYD	22	16	-	6	64	2067	1616	127.9	+20.5
4	COL	22	16	-	6	64	1839	1763	104.3	+3.5
5	FRE	22	15	1	6	62	1739	1486	117.0	+11.5
6	BRL	22	15	-	7	60	2147	1799	119.3	+15.8
7	RIC	22	13	1	8	54	2165	1780	121.6	+17.5
8	WBD	22	12	-	10	48	1973	1812	108.9	+7.3
9	CAR	22	12	-	10	48	1857	1714	108.3	+6.5
10	STK	22	11	-	11	44	1703	1715	99.3	-0.5
11	PAD	22	10	-	12	40	1806	1638	110.3	+7.6
12	GCO	22	10	-	12	40	1871	1820	102.8	+2.3
13	HAW	22	8	-	14	32	1787	1991	89.8	-9.3
14	ADE	22	8	-	14	32	1721	1986	86.7	-12.0
15	ESS	22	7	-	15	28	1737	2087	83.2	-15.9
16	GWS	22	6	-	16	24	1631	1927	84.6	-13.5
17	WCE	22	2	-	20	8	1429	2389	59.8	-43.6
18	NME	22	2	-	20	8	1337	2397	55.8	-48.2

AFL Finals Week 4 : 24 September


Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 24 Sep · 2:30pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Geelong	+35.3	97.1	92.8	70%	20	13	133	+5.6	+40.9
Sydney	+21.9	71.7	73.8	29%	8	4	52	-5.6	+16.4
Tip: Geelong by 19					Geelong by 81 ✔

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