AFL | GRAFT Ratings

Thank you for following GRAFT Ratings in 2021.

MAE and BITS leader on the Squggle leaderboard.
Although on tips, GRAFT's 135 was some way behind FMI on 141.

Full Fixture | CSV files: graft_tips.csv

Tips correct: 135 / 207 (65.2%)
By round: 6 8 5 5 8 6 5 7 7 6 7 5 2 4 5 5 3 7 5 6 4 6 8 2 1 1 1

Margin of Error: GRAFT 27.5 - Gamma 26.9
Mean score: 79.7 - Score 100+: 74 (18%)
Mean margin: 30.1 - Goal or less: 26 - Ten goals or more: 22
Flips: 18 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's prediction

AFL Finals Week 3 : 10-11 September

Preliminary Final 1
Perth Stadium				Fri 10 Sep · 7:50pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Melbourne	+21.0	72.1	74.1	52%	19	11	125	+8.0	+29.0
Geelong	+18.0	69.1	71.9	47%	6	6	42	-8.0	+10.0
Tip: Melbourne by 2					Melbourne by 83 ✔

Preliminary Final 2
Adelaide Oval				Sat 11 Sep · 7:40pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Port Adelaide	+22.4	76.9	77.7	59%	6	9	45	-8.2	+14.2
W Bulldogs	+17.2	65.7	69.3	40%	17	14	116	+8.2	+25.4
Tip: Port Adelaide by 8					W Bulldogs by 71 ✘

AFL Finals Week 4 : 25 September

Grand Final
Perth Stadium				Sat 25 Sep · 7:15pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Melbourne	+29.0	74.9	76.2	53%	21	14	140	+7.0	+36.1
W Bulldogs	+25.4	71.3	73.5	46%	10	6	66	-7.0	+18.4
Tip: Melbourne by 3					Melbourne by 74 ✔

		rating	net	attack	defence	swing		xwins
1	MEL	111.7	+36.1	+19.9	+16.1	+7.0		17.5
2	BRL	94.2	+18.5	+19.1	-0.6	-1.0	▲1	15.0
3	WBD	94.1	+18.4	+10.7	+7.7	-7.0	▼1	15.0
4	PAD	89.9	+14.2	+6.1	+8.1	-8.2		17.0
5	SYD	89.5	+13.8	+11.4	+2.4	-0.9		15.0
6	GEE	85.7	+10.0	+3.6	+6.4	-8.0		16.0
7	STK	81.0	+5.4	+3.7	+1.7	+4.0		10.0
8	GWS	80.7	+5.0	+5.0	+0.0	-2.7		11.5
9	ESS	79.4	+3.7	+3.9	-0.2	-4.7		11.0
10	RIC	74.0	-1.7	+0.5	-2.2	-0.8		9.5
11	HAW	67.9	-7.8	-2.1	-5.7	+0.8		8.0
12	WCE	64.8	-10.9	-2.6	-8.2	+0.3		10.0
13	COL	61.3	-14.3	-7.2	-7.2	-1.9		6.0
14	FRE	61.2	-14.5	-10.0	-4.5	-4.0		10.0
15	CAR	60.1	-15.5	-1.7	-13.9	+0.3		8.0
16	ADE	59.7	-16.0	-7.1	-8.8	+4.3		7.0
17	NME	56.0	-19.7	-9.1	-10.6	-4.3		4.5
18	GCO	50.9	-24.8	-14.8	-10.0	-5.9		7.0

rating

net

attack

defence

swing

xwins

MEL

111.7

+36.1

+19.9

+16.1

+7.0

17.5

BRL

94.2

+18.5

+19.1

-0.6

-1.0

▲1

15.0

WBD

94.1

+18.4

+10.7

+7.7

-7.0

▼1

15.0

PAD

89.9

+14.2

+6.1

+8.1

-8.2

17.0

SYD

89.5

+13.8

+11.4

+2.4

-0.9

15.0

GEE

85.7

+10.0

+3.6

+6.4

-8.0

16.0

STK

81.0

+5.4

+3.7

+1.7

+4.0

10.0

GWS

80.7

+5.0

+0.0

-2.7

11.5

ESS

79.4

+3.7

+3.9

-0.2

-4.7

11.0

RIC

74.0

-1.7

+0.5

-2.2

-0.8

9.5

HAW

67.9

-7.8

-2.1

-5.7

+0.8

8.0

WCE

64.8

-10.9

-2.6

-8.2

+0.3

10.0

COL

61.3

-14.3

-7.2

-1.9

6.0

FRE

61.2

-14.5

-10.0

-4.5

-4.0

10.0

CAR

60.1

-15.5

-1.7

-13.9

+0.3

8.0

ADE

59.7

-16.0

-7.1

-8.8

+4.3

7.0

NME

56.0

-19.7

-9.1

-10.6

-4.3

4.5

GCO

50.9

-24.8

-14.8

-10.0

-5.9

7.0

		p	w	d	l	pts	pf	pa	%	am
1	MEL	22	17	1	4	70	1888	1443	130.8	+20.2
2	PAD	22	17	-	5	68	1884	1492	126.3	+17.8
3	GEE	22	16	-	6	64	1845	1456	126.7	+17.7
4	BRL	22	15	-	7	60	2131	1599	133.3	+24.2
5	WBD	22	15	-	7	60	1994	1501	132.8	+22.4
6	SYD	22	15	-	7	60	1986	1656	119.9	+15.0
7	GWS	22	11	1	10	46	1768	1773	99.7	-0.2
8	ESS	22	11	-	11	44	1953	1790	109.1	+7.4
9	WCE	22	10	-	12	40	1752	1880	93.2	-5.8
10	STK	22	10	-	12	40	1644	1796	91.5	-6.9
11	FRE	22	10	-	12	40	1578	1825	86.5	-11.2
12	RIC	22	9	1	12	38	1743	1780	97.9	-1.7
13	CAR	22	8	-	14	32	1746	1972	88.5	-10.3
14	HAW	22	7	2	13	32	1629	1912	85.2	-12.9
15	ADE	22	7	-	15	28	1616	1971	82.0	-16.1
16	GCO	22	7	-	15	28	1430	1863	76.8	-19.7
17	COL	22	6	-	16	24	1557	1818	85.6	-11.9
18	NME	22	4	1	17	18	1458	2075	70.3	-28.0

pts

MEL

1888

1443

130.8

+20.2

PAD

1884

1492

126.3

+17.8

GEE

1845

1456

126.7

+17.7

BRL

2131

1599

133.3

+24.2

WBD

1994

1501

132.8

+22.4

SYD

1986

1656

119.9

+15.0

GWS

1768

1773

99.7

-0.2

ESS

1953

1790

109.1

+7.4

WCE

1752

1880

93.2

-5.8

STK

1644

1796

91.5

-6.9

FRE

1578

1825

86.5

-11.2

RIC

1743

1780

97.9

-1.7

CAR

1746

1972

88.5

-10.3

HAW

1629

1912

85.2

-12.9

ADE

1616

1971

82.0

-16.1

GCO

1430

1863

76.8

-19.7

COL

1557

1818

85.6

-11.9

NME

1458

2075

70.3

-28.0

AFL Men 2021

AFL Finals Week 3 : 10-11 September

AFL Finals Week 4 : 25 September

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Attack x Defence Tendencies