GRAFT Ratings : AFL Men 2023

Welcome to GRAFT Ratings.

And that's another season done.

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Full Fixture - Data files: Tips CSV | Ranking CSV | Projections CSV

Tips correct: 148 / 216 (68.5%)
Correct by round: 7 5 5 6 6 8 6 8 7 6 3 6 3 5 5 7 8 8 8 3 8 6 4 4 3 0 2 1
GRAFT Margin of Error: 25.7
Mean score: 83.4 - Score 100+: 105 (24%)
Mean margin: 30.6 - Goal or less: 37 - Ten goals or more: 29 - Wins with less scoring shots: 33
Flips: 19 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's pre-game prediction

Club Profiles

ADE
BRL
CAR
COL
ESS
FRE
GEE
GCO
GWS
HAW
MEL
NME
PAD
RIC
STK
SYD
WBD
WCE

Club Ratings

ratingnetattackdefenceswingxwinsoff tend
1 GWS 105.3+22.4+11.0+11.4 +0.4 13.0 -0.5
2 BRL 102.6+19.7+13.0 +6.7 +0.4 17.0 +6.3
3 MEL 98.3+15.4 +0.4+15.0 -0.7 16.0-14.6
4 COL 97.5+14.6 +4.5+10.1 -0.4 18.0 -5.6
5 CAR 95.2+12.3 +0.8+11.4 +0.4 13.5-10.6
6 ADE 94.4+11.5+10.3 +1.2 -0.4 11.0 +9.0
7 SYD 93.3+10.4 +5.6 +4.8 +0.9 12.5 +0.9
8 PAD 90.7 +7.8 +7.8 +0.0 -2.6 17.0 +7.8
9 GEE 90.0 +7.0 +3.9 +3.2 -3.4 10.5 +0.7
10 WBD 87.8 +4.9 +1.4 +3.5 +3.4 12.0 -2.1
11 FRE 86.6 +3.7 -3.5 +7.2 +4.2 10.0-10.6
12 STK 84.5 +1.6 -7.5 +9.1 -2.3 13.0-16.6
13 GCO 78.1 -4.8 +1.0 -5.8 -6.0 9.0 +6.9
14 RIC 73.8 -9.1 -1.4 -7.7 +0.5 10.5 +6.3
15 HAW 71.6-11.3 -5.3 -6.0 -4.2 7.0 +0.7
16 ESS 55.0-27.9-14.8-13.1 -3.5 11.0 -1.7
17 NME 53.5-29.4-11.1-18.3 +6.0 3.0 +7.3
18 WCE 34.1-48.8-19.1-29.7 +0.4 3.0+10.6

Ladder

pwdlptspfpa%amformnx
1 COL 2318-57221421687127.0+19.8
2 BRL 2317-66821801771123.1+17.8
3 PAD 2317-66821491906112.7+10.6
4 MEL 2316-76420791660125.2+18.2
5 CAR 2313195419221697113.3+9.8
6 STK 2313-105217751647107.8+5.6
7 GWS 2313-105220181885107.1+5.8
8 SYD 23121105020501863110.0+8.1
9 WBD 2312-114819191766108.7+6.7
10 ADE 2311-124421931877116.8+13.7
11 ESS 2311-12441838205089.7-9.2
12 GEE 23101124220881855112.6+10.1
13 RIC 2310112421856198393.6-5.5
14 FRE 2310-13401835189896.7-2.7
15 GCO 239-14361839200691.7-7.3
16 HAW 237-16281686210180.2-18.0
17 NME 233-20121657231871.5-28.7
18 WCE 233-20121418267453.0-54.6

AFL Finals Week 3 : 22-23 September

Preliminary Final 1
Melbourne Cricket GroundFri 22 Sep · 7:50pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Collingwood+15.487.554% 81058-0.4+15.0
GWS Giants+21.982.045% 8 957+0.4+22.4
Tip: Collingwood by 5Collingwood by 1 ✔
Preliminary Final 2
The Gabba, BrisbaneSat 23 Sep · 5:15pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Brisbane Lions+19.792.366%111379-0.4+19.3
Carlton+11.972.533% 9 963+0.4+12.3
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 20Brisbane Lions by 16 ✔

AFL Finals Week 4 : 30 September

Grand Final
Melbourne Cricket GroundSat 30 Sep · 2:30pm
rtparwinresultswingnew rt
Collingwood+15.085.956%121890-0.4+14.6
Brisbane Lions+19.378.243%13 886+0.4+19.7
Tip: Collingwood by 8Collingwood by 4 ✔

Projections

wins%firsttop 2top 4p 5-8top 8spoon
1 COL 18.0127.0100.0100.0100.0-100.0-
2 BRL 17.0123.1-100.0100.0-100.0-
3 PAD 17.0112.7--100.0-100.0-
4 MEL 16.0125.2--100.0-100.0-
5 CAR 13.5113.3---100.0100.0-
6 STK 13.0107.8---100.0100.0-
7 GWS 13.0107.1---100.0100.0-
8 SYD 12.5110.0---100.0100.0-
9 WBD 12.0108.7------
10 ADE 11.0116.8------
11 ESS 11.0 89.7------
12 GEE 10.5112.6------
13 RIC 10.5 93.6------
14 FRE 10.0 96.7------
15 GCO 9.0 91.7------
16 HAW 7.0 80.2------
17 NME 3.0 71.5------
18 WCE 3.0 53.0-----100.0
Run with last game played: R24 CAR v GWS 27 Aug

GRAFT Performance

rdcorrectparammoebestworstbitswhopper odds
17/ 95.330.030.13660.02220 : 1
25/ 95.833.637.61170-0.313500 : 1
35/ 95.624.019.20560.08300 : 1
46/ 96.334.825.47490.23120 : 1
56/ 95.831.223.40620.14210 : 1
68/ 95.933.619.71830.3367 : 1
76/ 96.437.325.40830.10270 : 1
88/ 96.227.918.97450.4433 : 1
97/ 96.446.030.35500.21140 : 1
106/ 95.731.226.45810.22130 : 1
113/ 96.318.825.4452-0.232200 : 1
126/ 74.727.715.83340.3722 : 1
133/ 85.133.030.7051-0.08400 : 1
145/ 63.737.333.813720.2820 : 1
155/ 63.952.538.619950.3018 : 1
167/ 96.036.432.13800.2651 : 1
178/ 96.334.015.61570.4237 : 1
188/ 96.033.624.85620.2890 : 1
198/ 95.923.018.01290.3656 : 1
203/ 95.620.631.8468-0.344200 : 1
218/ 96.321.425.75680.26100 : 1
226/ 95.726.920.60530.18160 : 1
234/ 95.929.735.0097-0.354600 : 1
244/ 96.134.230.64600.07320 : 1
253/ 42.321.218.69330.1511 : 1
260/ 21.112.516.5726-0.105 : 1
272/ 21.28.54.1440.263 : 1
281/ 10.64.03.7440.172 : 1

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