AFL | GRAFT Ratings

Welcome back to GRAFT Ratings for 2026.

Bluesky is about as close as we're getting to socmed this year.

Tips correct: 72 / 106 (67.9%)

Correct by round: 3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3
GRAFT Margin of Error: 29.1
Mean score: 90.4 - Score 100+: 72 (34%)
Mean margin: 32.0 - Goal or less: 20 - Ten goals or more: 16 - Wins with less scoring shots: 2
Flips: 10 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's pre-game prediction

Club Profiles

Club Ratings

		rating	net	attack	defence	swing		xwins	off tend
1	GEE	117.7	+30.1	+21.0	+9.1	-4.0		16.0	+11.9
2	SYD	113.0	+25.5	+16.7	+8.8	+4.0		17.7	+8.0
3	FRE	107.1	+19.6	+5.7	+13.9	+2.5		18.1	-8.2
4	HAW	104.7	+17.2	+12.2	+5.0	+3.9	▲1	15.9	+7.2
5	ADE	101.9	+14.3	+5.9	+8.5	+0.2	▼1	13.5	-2.6
6	GCO	97.7	+10.2	+8.7	+1.5	-2.2		13.0	+7.2
7	COL	93.7	+6.2	-0.9	+7.1	-0.6		11.6	-8.0
8	WBD	93.0	+5.5	+5.2	+0.3	+0.6	▲1	12.9	+4.9
9	GWS	92.8	+5.2	+6.2	-0.9	+5.0	▲2	11.6	+7.1
10	BRL	90.3	+2.8	+11.1	-8.3	-2.5	▼2	11.7	+19.4
11	CAR	89.8	+2.3	-2.0	+4.3	+4.0	▲2	10.3	-6.3
12	STK	83.7	-3.8	-1.8	-2.1	-3.9		10.4	+0.3
13	MEL	83.7	-3.8	+4.1	-7.9	-5.0	▼3	11.9	+12.0
14	PAD	77.3	-10.2	-12.2	+2.0	-4.7		7.8	-14.3
15	NME	74.1	-13.4	+0.3	-13.7	+2.2		9.7	+14.1
16	ESS	56.4	-31.1	-16.6	-14.5	-2.4		3.8	-2.1
17	WCE	55.0	-32.5	-17.7	-14.8	+2.4		7.0	-2.9
18	RIC	43.4	-44.2	-24.0	-20.1	-4.0		4.1	-3.9

Ladder

		p	w	d	l	pts	pf	pa	%	am
1	FRE	12	11	-	1	44	1157	856	135.2	+25.1
2	SYD	12	10	-	2	40	1381	906	152.4	+39.6
3	HAW	12	8	1	3	34	1177	1025	114.8	+12.7
4	GEE	12	8	-	4	32	1221	1002	121.9	+18.2
5	GCO	11	7	-	4	28	1098	939	116.9	+14.5
6	MEL	12	7	-	5	28	1190	1169	101.8	+1.8
7	WBD	12	7	-	5	28	1046	1116	93.7	-5.8
8	ADE	11	6	-	5	24	982	910	107.9	+6.5
9	BRL	12	6	-	6	24	1204	1159	103.9	+3.8
10	GWS	12	6	-	6	24	1127	1102	102.3	+2.1
11	COL	12	5	1	6	22	994	995	99.9	-0.1
12	STK	12	5	-	7	20	1075	1051	102.3	+2.0
13	NME	11	5	-	6	20	1037	1063	97.6	-2.4
14	CAR	12	4	-	8	16	977	1116	87.5	-11.6
15	WCE	12	4	-	8	16	889	1256	70.8	-30.6
16	PAD	11	3	-	8	12	906	898	100.9	+0.7
17	RIC	12	2	-	10	8	787	1304	60.4	-43.1
18	ESS	12	1	-	11	4	910	1291	70.5	-31.8

Projections

		wins	%	first	top 2	top 4	top 6	wild	spoon
1	SYD	17.8	139.3	45.5	78.3	98.2	99.8	0.2	-
2	FRE	18.1	126.4	43.7	75.4	97.5	99.8	0.2	-
3	GEE	16.0	125.7	5.8	23.6	83.6	97.2	2.6	-
4	HAW	15.9	117.9	4.7	20.1	78.1	95.1	4.4	-
5	ADE	13.5	112.0	0.2	1.4	16.4	60.5	28.8	-
6	GCO	13.0	107.8	0.1	0.8	11.3	45.5	33.8	-
7	WBD	12.9	98.7	0.0	0.3	6.3	33.3	40.3	-
8	BRL	11.8	103.3	-	0.0	2.0	16.5	37.8	-
9	MEL	11.9	98.5	0.0	0.1	2.4	16.3	35.7	-
10	COL	11.6	103.2	-	0.0	1.8	14.4	35.4	-
11	GWS	11.6	101.7	0.0	0.1	1.8	13.7	35.0	-
12	STK	10.4	100.7	-	-	0.2	3.9	20.0	-
13	CAR	10.3	97.1	-	-	0.1	2.8	16.3	0.0
14	NME	9.6	92.6	-	-	0.1	1.0	7.9	0.0
15	PAD	7.8	94.7	-	-	-	0.1	1.8	0.4
16	WCE	7.0	73.5	-	-	-	-	0.1	1.5
17	ESS	3.7	72.6	-	-	-	-	-	47.4
18	RIC	4.1	63.7	-	-	-	-	-	50.7
Run with last game played: R12 WCE v ESS 31 May

AFL Round 12 : 28-31 May

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Thu 28 May · 7:30pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
St Kilda	+0.0	84.2	39%	9	13	67	-3.9	-3.8
Hawthorn	+13.3	97.5	60%	18	11	119	+3.9	+17.2
Tip: Hawthorn by 13				Hawthorn by 52 ✔

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Fri 29 May · 7:40pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Carlton	-1.7	73.5	23%	12	16	88	+4.0	+2.3
Geelong	+34.1	109.3	76%	12	12	84	-4.0	+30.1
Tip: Geelong by 36				Carlton by 4 ✘

Sydney Cricket Ground				Sat 30 May · 1:15pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Sydney Swans	+21.5	120.5	94%	25	20	170	+4.0	+25.5
Richmond	-40.1	46.9	6%	8	8	56	-4.0	-44.2
Tip: Sydney Swans by 74				Sydney Swans by 114 ✔

The Gabba, Brisbane				Sat 30 May · 4:15pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Brisbane Lions	+5.3	93.9	50%	10	18	78	-2.5	+2.8
Fremantle	+17.0	93.6	49%	15	13	103	+2.5	+19.6
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 0				Fremantle by 25 ✘

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Sat 30 May · 7:35pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Western Bulldogs	+4.9	82.7	48%	14	13	97	+0.6	+5.5
Collingwood	+6.8	84.7	51%	13	15	93	-0.6	+6.2
Tip: Collingwood by 2				Western Bulldogs by 4 ✘

Traeger Park, Alice Springs				Sun 31 May · 3:15pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Melbourne	+1.1	98.1	50%	9	16	70	-5.0	-3.8
GWS Giants	+0.3	97.2	49%	19	5	119	+5.0	+5.2
Tip: Melbourne by 1				GWS Giants by 49 ✘

Perth Stadium				Sun 31 May · 7:20pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
West Coast	-34.9	91.7	54%	12	13	85	+2.4	-32.5
Essendon	-28.7	85.9	45%	8	7	55	-2.4	-31.1
Tip: West Coast by 6				West Coast by 30 ✔

AFL Round 13 - King's Birthday Weekend : 4-8 June

Adelaide Oval				Thu 04 Jun · 7:30pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Adelaide	+14.3	90.3	46%
Geelong	+30.1	94.1	53%
Tip: Geelong by 4

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Fri 05 Jun · 7:40pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Hawthorn	+17.2	99.4	59%
Western Bulldogs	+5.5	87.7	40%
Tip: Hawthorn by 12

Hands Oval, Bunbury				Sat 06 Jun · 2:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
North Melbourne	-13.4	68.0	18%
Fremantle	+19.6	113.0	82%
Tip: Fremantle by 45

Carrara Stadium, Gold Coast				Sat 06 Jun · 5:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Gold Coast	+10.2	104.5	55%
Brisbane Lions	+2.8	97.1	44%
Tip: Gold Coast by 7

Perth Stadium				Sat 06 Jun · 8:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
West Coast	-32.5	73.8	41%
Port Adelaide	-10.2	84.1	58%
Tip: Port Adelaide by 10

Sydney Cricket Ground				Sun 07 Jun · 3:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Sydney Swans	+25.5	112.3	80%
St Kilda	-3.8	71.0	20%
Tip: Sydney Swans by 41

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sun 07 Jun · 7:20pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Essendon	-31.1	66.6	24%
Carlton	+2.3	100.0	75%
Tip: Carlton by 33

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Mon 08 Jun · 3:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Collingwood	+6.2	94.5	58%
Melbourne	-3.8	84.5	41%
Tip: Collingwood by 10