AFL | GRAFT Ratings

AFL Men 2022

Welcome to GRAFT Ratings for 2022.

Projections are updated at the end of each round.

Full fixture - CSVs : graft_tips.csv - graft_ranking.csv - projections.csv

Tips correct: 55 / 81 (67.9%)
By round: 5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6

Margin of Error: GRAFT 27.7 - Gamma 28.4
Mean score: 83.0 - Score 100+: 42 (26%)
Mean margin: 33.2 - Goal or less: 8 - Ten goals or more: 14 - Wins with less scoring shots: 11
Flips: 7 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's prediction

		rating	net	attack	defence	swing		xwins
1	MEL	108.6	+29.1	+9.7	+19.4	+2.4	▲1	18.1
2	BRL	107.3	+27.8	+20.0	+7.8	+0.1	▼1	16.8
3	GEE	97.1	+17.6	+8.6	+9.0	-2.6		13.4
4	SYD	94.6	+15.1	+9.4	+5.7	+2.5		13.8
5	WBD	91.8	+12.3	+4.8	+7.5	+3.4	▲2	11.4
6	PAD	90.4	+10.9	+0.8	+10.1	+4.0	▲2	11.4
7	RIC	90.3	+10.8	+13.2	-2.4	+0.5	▼2	12.7
8	STK	86.4	+6.9	+2.8	+4.1	+2.6	▲1	13.0
9	FRE	84.8	+5.3	-7.2	+12.4	-4.1	▼3	13.4
10	CAR	81.1	+1.6	+8.1	-6.5	+3.6		13.6
11	GCO	76.1	-3.4	-5.6	+2.2	+4.1	▲1	10.9
12	HAW	71.3	-8.2	+1.1	-9.4	-0.5	▲1	9.2
13	COL	70.9	-8.6	-0.9	-7.7	-3.4	▼2	9.4
14	ESS	68.5	-10.9	+1.3	-12.3	-2.5	▲1	7.4
15	GWS	68.1	-11.4	-5.9	-5.4	-3.6	▼1	7.3
16	ADE	60.3	-19.2	-7.0	-12.2	-0.1		8.3
17	WCE	41.9	-37.5	-16.9	-20.7	-2.4	▲1	3.9
18	NME	41.3	-38.2	-16.7	-21.5	-4.0	▼1	4.1

		p	w	d	l	pts	pf	pa	%	am
1	MEL	9	9	-	-	36	838	527	159.0	+34.6
2	BRL	9	8	-	1	32	953	628	151.8	+36.1
3	FRE	9	7	-	2	28	736	528	139.4	+23.1
4	CAR	9	7	-	2	28	830	726	114.3	+11.6
5	SYD	9	6	-	3	24	850	676	125.7	+19.3
6	STK	9	6	-	3	24	760	651	116.7	+12.1
7	GEE	9	5	-	4	20	834	687	121.4	+16.3
8	RIC	9	5	-	4	20	899	765	117.5	+14.9
9	WBD	9	4	-	5	16	765	700	109.3	+7.2
10	PAD	9	4	-	5	16	705	648	108.8	+6.3
11	COL	9	4	-	5	16	803	816	98.4	-1.4
12	GCO	9	4	-	5	16	700	735	95.2	-3.9
13	HAW	9	3	-	6	12	760	835	91.0	-8.3
14	ADE	9	3	-	6	12	687	853	80.5	-18.4
15	GWS	9	2	-	7	8	638	810	78.8	-19.1
16	ESS	9	2	-	7	8	687	922	74.5	-26.1
17	NME	9	1	-	8	4	521	970	53.7	-49.9
18	WCE	9	1	-	8	4	488	977	49.9	-54.3

AFL Round 9 : 13-15 May

Docklands, Melbourne				Fri 13 May · 7:50pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Collingwood	-5.2	76.2	77.1	38%	7	9	51	-3.4	-8.6
W Bulldogs	+8.9	90.3	87.7	61%	14	15	99	+3.4	+12.3
Tip: W Bulldogs by 11					W Bulldogs by 48 ✔

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 14 May · 1:45pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Hawthorn	-7.7	80.2	80.2	35%	14	10	94	-0.5	-8.2
Richmond	+10.3	98.3	93.7	64%	17	15	117	+0.5	+10.8
Tip: Richmond by 14					Richmond by 23 ✔

Bellerive Oval, Hobart				Sat 14 May · 2:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
North Melb	-34.2	61.9	66.4	26%	6	10	46	-4.0	-38.2
Port Adelaide	+6.9	90.9	88.2	73%	17	13	115	+4.0	+10.9
Tip: Port Adelaide by 22					Port Adelaide by 69 ✔

Docklands, Melbourne				Sat 14 May · 4:35pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
St Kilda	+4.3	69.1	71.8	36%	13	12	90	+2.6	+6.9
Geelong	+20.2	85.0	83.7	63%	11	14	80	-2.6	+17.6
Tip: Geelong by 12					St Kilda by 10 ✘

Sydney Cricket Ground				Sat 14 May · 7:25pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Sydney	+12.6	107.7	100.8	74%	14	21	105	+2.5	+15.1
Essendon	-8.4	74.7	76.0	25%	6	11	47	-2.5	-10.9
Tip: Sydney by 25					Sydney by 58 ✔

Adelaide Oval				Sat 14 May · 7:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Adelaide	-19.0	71.8	73.9	23%	9	12	66	-0.1	-19.2
Brisbane	+27.7	106.6	99.9	76%	16	6	102	+0.1	+27.8
Tip: Brisbane by 26					Brisbane by 36 ✔

Carrara Stadium, Gold Coast				Sun 15 May · 1:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
Gold Coast	-7.4	67.1	70.3	45%	10	9	69	+4.1	-3.4
Fremantle	+9.3	71.9	73.9	54%	4	9	33	-4.1	+5.3
Tip: Fremantle by 4					Gold Coast by 36 ✘

Sydney Showground				Sun 15 May · 3:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
GWS Giants	-7.8	88.9	86.7	55%	11	9	75	-3.6	-11.4
Carlton	-2.0	82.6	81.9	44%	15	15	105	+3.6	+1.6
Tip: GWS Giants by 5					Carlton by 30 ✘

Perth Stadium				Sun 15 May · 3:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result			swing	rt
West Coast	-35.1	52.0	59.0	14%	5	8	38	-2.4	-37.5
Melbourne	+26.7	101.8	96.4	86%	16	16	112	+2.4	+29.1
Tip: Melbourne by 37					Melbourne by 74 ✔

Club Profiles

AFL Round 10 : 20-22 May

Docklands, Melbourne				Fri 20 May · 7:50pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Carlton	+1.6	87.9	86.0	48%
Sydney	+15.1	89.4	87.1	51%
Tip: Sydney by 1

Kardina Park, Geelong				Sat 21 May · 1:45pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Geelong	+17.6	84.0	83.0	65%
Port Adelaide	+10.9	65.2	69.0	34%
Tip: Geelong by 14

Eureka Stadium, Ballarat				Sat 21 May · 1:45pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
W Bulldogs	+12.3	88.1	86.1	72%
Gold Coast	-3.4	60.4	65.3	27%
Tip: W Bulldogs by 21

Docklands, Melbourne				Sat 21 May · 4:35pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
North Melb	-38.2	43.3	52.5	7%
Melbourne	+29.1	110.7	103.0	93%
Tip: Melbourne by 50

Adelaide Oval				Sat 21 May · 7:30pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Adelaide	-19.2	74.4	75.8	38%
St Kilda	+6.9	88.5	86.4	61%
Tip: St Kilda by 11

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 21 May · 7:30pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Richmond	+10.8	104.9	98.7	66%
Essendon	-10.9	83.2	82.4	33%
Tip: Richmond by 16

Sydney Showground				Sun 22 May · 2:10pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
GWS Giants	-11.4	100.2	95.2	79%
West Coast	-37.5	62.1	66.6	21%
Tip: GWS Giants by 29

York Park, Launceston				Sun 22 May · 3:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Hawthorn	-8.2	78.8	79.1	31%
Brisbane	+27.8	102.8	97.1	68%
Tip: Brisbane by 18

Perth Stadium				Sun 22 May · 5:20pm
	rt	par	Γ	win	result	swing	rt
Fremantle	+5.3	86.0	84.6	71%
Collingwood	-8.6	60.2	65.2	28%
Tip: Fremantle by 19